Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.020889 0.022451 0.024074 0.025887 0.027859 0.029940 0.032304
2026-01-18 0.018302 0.020550 0.023006 0.025894 0.029206 0.032893 0.037322
2026-01-25 0.016675 0.019339 0.022358 0.026047 0.030449 0.035558 0.041969
2026-02-01 0.015251 0.018146 0.021526 0.025784 0.031035 0.037338 0.045536
2026-02-08 0.014031 0.017058 0.020679 0.025362 0.031301 0.038641 0.048489
2026-02-15 0.013124 0.016262 0.020101 0.025181 0.031787 0.040170 0.051742
2026-02-22 0.012308 0.015512 0.019509 0.024910 0.032095 0.041434 0.054665
2026-03-01 0.011631 0.014888 0.019024 0.024724 0.032467 0.042758 0.057700
2026-03-08 0.011031 0.014324 0.018575 0.024539 0.032802 0.044017 0.060680
2026-03-15 0.010584 0.013932 0.018324 0.024592 0.033443 0.045701 0.064328
2026-03-22 0.010119 0.013487 0.017972 0.024475 0.033821 0.047013 0.067488
2026-03-29 0.009716 0.013106 0.017683 0.024420 0.034269 0.048426 0.070855
2026-04-05 0.009356 0.012780 0.017473 0.024496 0.034947 0.050272 0.075094
2026-04-12 0.009000 0.012446 0.017237 0.024519 0.035553 0.052046 0.079354
2026-04-19 0.008709 0.012188 0.017093 0.024665 0.036339 0.054125 0.084224
2026-04-26 0.008327 0.011777 0.016705 0.024419 0.036499 0.055229 0.087561
2026-05-03 0.007930 0.011328 0.016237 0.024023 0.036396 0.055896 0.090193
2026-05-10 0.007623 0.010997 0.015928 0.023852 0.036633 0.057108 0.093811
2026-05-17 0.007315 0.010650 0.015579 0.023598 0.036713 0.058057 0.097020
2026-05-24 0.007046 0.010352 0.015291 0.023422 0.036908 0.059196 0.100624
2026-05-31 0.006795 0.010070 0.015014 0.023249 0.037091 0.060314 0.104250
2026-06-07 0.006611 0.009885 0.014880 0.023299 0.037646 0.062094 0.109201
2026-06-14 0.006401 0.009651 0.014656 0.023189 0.037919 0.063387 0.113313